Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.003612 0.003787 0.003966 0.004163 0.004373 0.004592 0.004837
2025-02-02 0.003380 0.003653 0.003944 0.004277 0.004651 0.005059 0.005538
2025-02-09 0.003142 0.003462 0.003812 0.004226 0.004704 0.005243 0.005900
2025-02-16 0.002988 0.003343 0.003741 0.004223 0.004793 0.005454 0.006285
2025-02-23 0.002850 0.003231 0.003665 0.004200 0.004848 0.005617 0.006611
2025-03-02 0.002769 0.003177 0.003649 0.004242 0.004976 0.005866 0.007047
2025-03-09 0.002658 0.003080 0.003574 0.004205 0.005000 0.005984 0.007319
2025-03-16 0.002558 0.002990 0.003503 0.004167 0.005017 0.006088 0.007573
2025-03-23 0.002453 0.002889 0.003413 0.004099 0.004990 0.006132 0.007745
2025-03-30 0.002360 0.002798 0.003331 0.004037 0.004966 0.006174 0.007912
2025-04-06 0.002306 0.002755 0.003306 0.004045 0.005032 0.006337 0.008251
2025-04-13 0.002188 0.002626 0.003167 0.003900 0.004887 0.006205 0.008166
2025-04-20 0.002144 0.002591 0.003151 0.003916 0.004962 0.006383 0.008539
2025-04-27 0.002139 0.002607 0.003199 0.004020 0.005162 0.006744 0.009204
2025-05-04 0.002073 0.002541 0.003137 0.003973 0.005148 0.006800 0.009412
2025-05-11 0.002028 0.002501 0.003109 0.003970 0.005195 0.006943 0.009761
2025-05-18 0.001980 0.002454 0.003070 0.003949 0.005215 0.007047 0.010052
2025-05-25 0.001956 0.002440 0.003073 0.003987 0.005321 0.007282 0.010566
2025-06-01 0.001907 0.002391 0.003027 0.003954 0.005320 0.007353 0.010814
2025-06-08 0.001861 0.002343 0.002981 0.003918 0.005314 0.007415 0.011050
2025-06-15 0.001807 0.002283 0.002918 0.003856 0.005264 0.007407 0.011165
2025-06-22 0.001757 0.002229 0.002860 0.003799 0.005220 0.007405 0.011287
2025-06-29 0.001732 0.002206 0.002847 0.003807 0.005275 0.007562 0.011698